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April 10, 2026Scientific Reports0 citationsOpen Access

Association between estimated plasma volume status and all-cause mortality in critically ill patients with non-traumatic subarachnoid hemorrhage: analysis of the MIMIC-IV database

QMQing MeiJZJ. ZhangHSH Shen

Key Result

Estimated plasma volume status exhibited a U-shaped relationship with 1-month all-cause mortality in critically ill patients with non-traumatic subarachnoid hemorrhage, with each unit increase above 3.94 associated with a 1.8-fold increased risk of death (HR 2.80).

Key Points

  • To explore the relationship between estimated plasma volume status and all-cause mortality in critically ill non-traumatic subarachnoid hemorrhage patients.
  • Analyzed 750 NSAH patients from the MIMIC-IV database
  • Constructed a Cox proportional hazards model to evaluate mortality risk
  • Used a restricted cubic spline model to assess ePVS relationship with outcomes.
  • 1-month all-cause mortality was 21%, with 29% at 1-year
  • Found a U-shaped relationship between ePVS and mortality risk
  • Low ePVS reduces mortality risk by 56%, while high ePVS increases risk by 1.8 times.

Study Design

Type

Cohort (n=750)

Multicenter

No

Structured PICO

Does estimated plasma volume status affect all-cause mortality in critically ill adult patients with non-traumatic subarachnoid hemorrhage?

P
Population
750 critically ill adult ICU patients with non-traumatic subarachnoid hemorrhage (NSAH), with ICU stays ≥24 hours and first hospital/ICU admission.
I
Intervention
Estimated plasma volume status (ePVS) calculated using the Duarte formula from hematocrit and hemoglobin within the first 24 hours of ICU admission
C
Comparator
Patients with different levels of ePVS (stratified into tertiles: T1 <3.58, T2 3.59-5.10 [reference], T3 ≥5.11)
O
Outcome
1-month all-cause mortality (ACM)hard clinical

In critically ill patients with non-traumatic subarachnoid hemorrhage, estimated plasma volume status exhibits a U-shaped association with 1-month mortality, suggesting both hypovolemia and hypervolemia portend poor prognosis.

Main Result

Effect estimate: HR 2.80 (95% CI 1.58-4.97)

p-value: p=<0.001

Limitations

  • Absence of imaging validation for diagnostic codes may have resulted in misclassification of non-aneurysmal cases
  • Retrospective single-center observational study susceptible to residual confounding
  • Lack of critical clinical variables such as hematoma burden, hydrocephalus, intraventricular extension, and DCI
  • Severely ill nature of the cohort limits external validity to less acute NSAH populations
  • Single-timepoint ePVS measurement precludes assessment of longitudinal changes
  • Absence of imaging validation for diagnostic codes may have resulted in misclassification
  • Retrospective single-center observational study susceptible to residual confounding and cannot establish causality
  • Lack of critical clinical variables including hematoma burden, hydrocephalus, intraventricular extension, DCI, and treatment modalities

Abstract

Background: The estimated plasma volume status (ePVS) is an independent risk factor for poor prognosis in certain cardiovascular disease populations. However, the relationship between ePVS and prognosis in critically ill patients with non-traumatic subarachnoid hemorrhage (NSAH) remains unclear. This study aims to explore the association between ePVS and all-cause mortality (ACM) in NSAH patients. Methods: A total of 750 NSAH patients were included in this retrospective study. The primary outcome was 1-month ACM. A Cox proportional hazards model was constructed to examine the relationship between ePVS and ACM in critically ill NSAH patients. A restricted cubic spline model was used to assess the relationship between ePVS and the outcome. Results: In this patient cohort, 1-month, 3-month, and 1-year ACM rates were 21%, 25%, and 29%, respectively. After adjusting for potential confounders, we found a U-shaped relationship between ePVS and 1-month ACM, with an inflection point at 3.94. Specifically, when ePVS is below the inflection point, each unit increase in ePVS reduces the mortality risk by 56% HR, 0.44 (95% CI 0.25, 0.76). However, once the inflection point is surpassed, each unit increase in ePVS increases the mortality risk by 1.8 times HR, 2.80 (95% CI 1.58, 4.97). Conclusion: We identified a U-shaped relationship between ePVS and ACM in critically ill patients with NSAH, suggesting both low and high ePVS levels may portend adverse outcomes. Prospective multicenter studies are warranted to validate these findings and elucidate underlying mechanisms.

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Cite This Study

Mei et al. (2026) conducted a cohort in Non-traumatic subarachnoid hemorrhage (NSAH) (n=750). Estimated plasma volume status (ePVS) was evaluated on 1-month all-cause mortality (per unit increase in ePVS > 3.94) (HR 2.80, 95% CI 1.58-4.97, p=<0.001). Estimated plasma volume status exhibited a U-shaped relationship with 1-month all-cause mortality in critically ill patients with non-traumatic subarachnoid hemorrhage, with each unit increase above 3.94 associated with a 1.8-fold increased risk of death (HR 2.80).

synapsesocial.com/papers/69d893eb6c1944d70ce04e38https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-026-47116-2
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