The dataset is comprehensive, covering historical waste data, future socio-economic projections, proposed mitigation strategies, and their projected environmental and health impacts. 1. Current Waste & Socio-Economic Context Waste Disposal Trends (2019–2023): The data tracks the quantity of municipal solid waste (MSW) disposed of in landfills, specifically monitoring waste from the Ministry of Local Administration (MoLA) and the Greater Amman Municipality (GAM). Total disposal peaked in 2022 at over 4.3 million tons before dropping to roughly 3.1 million tons in 2023. Future Drivers (2022–2050): The dataset includes projections for population growth (rising from 11.3m to 20.8m), GDP growth, and average income. These factors are likely used to model increased pressure on waste management systems. 2. Mitigation Strategies & Methane Reduction Action Plan: A three-phased strategy (Short, Mid, and Long-term) is outlined to reduce methane emissions. Key actions include biogas recovery from the Salt Treatment Plant, recycling bank projects in Amman, and transforming dumpsites into engineered sanitary landfills. Impact Assessment: The data quantifies the reduction potential of these activities. For instance, the "Short-Term" scenario alone is projected to reduce emissions by over 1,810 Gg CO2 Equivalent/year, with significant contributions from methane gas collection at the Al-Ekeider Landfill. 3. Future Scenarios & Emissions Projections Baseline vs. Alternatives (2025–2050): The data compares a "Baseline" scenario against four alternative strategies: Composting, Recycling, Anaerobic Digestion, and Incineration. Results: While the Baseline scenario predicts methane emissions will rise to 93,500 tons/year by 2050, the "Incineration with Energy Recovery" scenario offers the lowest projected emissions (44,900 tons/year by 2050). 4. Health & Climate Impact Indicators Public Health: The dataset contains granular WHO health data (incidence rates for diseases like COPD, lung cancer, and stroke) broken down by age and gender. This is used to simulate premature deaths and Disability-Adjusted Life Years (DALYs) related to waste pollution. Climate Change: A specific analysis tracks the contribution of Jordan's MSW emissions to global temperature change. It projects that by 2050, the total temperature change contribution from these emissions will be approximately 1.5°C, driven primarily by CO2 and direct Methane (CH4) effects.
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Anas Ghawanmeh
Jordan University of Science and Technology
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Anas Ghawanmeh (Thu,) studied this question.
www.synapsesocial.com/papers/699011172ccff479cfe577b5 — DOI: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18624543