Abstract Purpose Oncotype DX (ODX) is one of the most widely used genomic tests for risk stratification and prediction of response to hormonal therapy (HT) of early stage ER+/HER2- node-negative breast cancer. However, this test does not provide guidance on the extent of chemotherapy (CT) benefit. We developed an AI-based model that predicts response to HT and failure of HT+CT directly from H 0.002). Fifteen patients with ODX20 treated with HT alone metastasized and our AI model identified 11/15 (73%) of these patients as HT-failures. The 150 patients treated with HT+CT based on ODX scores ranging from 26 to 71 were stratified using our CT-failure biomarker with an HR of 2.42 (p 0.02), identifying 22/35 (65%) patients who metastasized after being treated with HT+CT. In a multivariate analysis, ODX score added prognostic information to the AI- based HT-response biomarker (p=0.04) and age added prognostic information to the AI- based HT+CT-failure biomarker (p=0.03). By integrating signaling pathway alterations together with changes in gene expressions, we were able to utilize these enriched genomic changes using our AI model to identify responders and non-responders to HT and HT+CT. Conclusion To our knowledge, this is the first AI model that can predict response to HT and HT+CT in early stage ER+/HER2- node-negative breast cancer. Our AI model by itself identified 73% patients with low ODX scores who developed metastasis following HT alone and 63% patients with high ODX who did not benefit from HT+CT. Combining ODX recurrence scores with the output of our AI model improved the prediction of response in HT treated patients. Citation Format: H. Muhammad, S. S. Chavan, C. Feng, D. K. Almaraz, H. Basu, W. Huang, R. Roy, G. Wilding, G. Mills, S. Kummar, S. Krishnamurthy. Transcriptomics-guided AI outperforms and expands on OncotypeDX to predict Hormonal therapy response and Chemotherapy benefit from H 2025 Dec 9-12; San Antonio, TX. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Clin Cancer Res 2026;32(4 Suppl):Abstract nr PS3-06-24.
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H. Muhammad
S. S. Chavan
C. Feng
Clinical Cancer Research
University of Wisconsin–Madison
The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center
Oregon Health & Science University
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Muhammad et al. (Tue,) studied this question.
www.synapsesocial.com/papers/699a9da0482488d673cd396b — DOI: https://doi.org/10.1158/1557-3265.sabcs25-ps3-06-24
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