The Influence of Contextual Predictability on Word Segmentation in Chinese Reading: An Eye-Tracking Study

Word segmentation is a fundamental component of lexical processing, and Chinese reading-lacking inter-word spacing-requires readers to identify word boundaries based on prior experience. Previous studies have shown that contextual predictability facilitates lexical identification in Chinese reading; however, its influence on word segmentation remains unclear. This study used eye-tracking to examine the relationship between contextual predictability and readers' segmentation preferences during Chinese sentence reading. Overlapping ambiguous three-character strings (e.g., ) were used as the region of interest (ROI), and a 2 (segmentation type: AB-C (e.g., /) vs. A-BC (e.g., /)) × 2 (contextual predictability: high vs. low) within-subjects design was adopted. A total of 76 native Chinese speakers completed the task. The results showed that contextual predictability had a significant effect on skipping probability: Highly predictable target character strings were skipped more often than low-predictability words. However, contextual predictability did not influence any eye-movement measure. In contrast, segmentation type produced consistent effects across all measures, with shorter reading times for AB-C than for A-BC, indicating a stable preference for two-character segmentation. More importantly, no interaction emerged between contextual predictability and segmentation type, and Bayesian model comparison further supported this conclusion. These findings suggest that Chinese reading involves a robust preference for AB-C segmentation and that contextual predictability and word segmentation operate as independent processes, with predictability exerting minimal influence on word segmentation during reading. This result supports the Chinese Reading Model (CRM).