Manual Dexterity Shows Greater Discretionary Value than Sensor-Based Gait and Balance Measures in Identifying Early Functional Impairment in Multiple Sclerosis

Objective: To determine which physical clinical test best differentiates minimally impaired people with MS (pwMS) from healthy controls and to compare the discriminatory value of upper limb clinical assessments with sensor-based gait and postural control measures. Methods: Forty-one participants (21 pwMS, 20 matched healthy controls) completed a single testing session including upper limb clinical assessments (Nine-Hole Peg Test 9HPT, grip strength), gait (Timed 25-Foot Walk, Six-Minute Walk Test, and cognitive–walking dual task), and static balance assessments using wearable inertial sensors (APDM Mobility Lab system). Dual-task costs (DTCs) were calculated for gait parameters. Between-group comparisons were performed using independent t-tests. Pearson correlation analyses were conducted to examine interrelationships among gait variables, and a parsimonious binary logistic regression model was constructed, including non-dominant 9HPT and dual-task walking speed. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analyses were performed to evaluate discriminative performance and determine the optimal 9HPT cutoff. Results: PwMS performed significantly slower on the 9HPT for both hands (p ≤ 0.006) and demonstrated reduced walking performance and higher gait DTCs (p ≤ 0.041) compared with controls. No significant group differences were observed in grip strength or sensor-based postural control. In multivariable analysis, the overall model was significant (p < 0.001; Nagelkerke R2 = 0.49), and the non-dominant 9HPT remained the only independent predictor of group status (OR = 1.75, 95% CI 1.17–2.61), whereas dual-task walking speed was not significant after adjustment. ROC analysis demonstrated good discriminative ability for the non-dominant 9HPT (AUC = 0.84, 95% CI 0.71–0.97) and acceptable discrimination for dual-task walking speed (AUC = 0.75, 95% CI 0.60–0.90). The optimal 9HPT cutoff was ≥21.4 s, yielding 71% sensitivity and 100% specificity in this cohort. Conclusions: Manual dexterity of the non-dominant hand may serve as a sensitive screening marker of early functional impairment in MS, demonstrating greater discriminatory value than sensor-based gait and balance measures. These findings support the inclusion of upper limb dexterity testing in the routine assessment of minimally impaired pwMS. Validation in larger, longitudinal cohorts is warranted.