Impact of abdominal obesity prevalence trends on dementia, cardiovascular disease, functional impairment, and mortality in older Chinese adults: A Markov scenario simulation, 2020–2050

Key Points

• The aim is to understand how trends in abdominal obesity affect dementia, cardiovascular disease, functional impairment, and mortality in older adults from 2020 to 2050.
• Conducted a Markov scenario simulation from 2020 to 2050
• Analyzed trends in abdominal obesity prevalence
• Projected impacts on dementia, cardiovascular disease, and mortality rates
• Control of abdominal obesity may reduce cardiovascular disease incidence and mortality
• Increased longevity could lead to a higher burden of dementia and functional impairment
• Highlights the need for integrated public health strategies.

Abstract