Metabolomic Signatures of Relapse and Survival in AML Patients Receiving Allogeneic Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation

Objectives: Allogeneic stem cell transplantation (HSCT) is curative in acute myeloid leukemia (AML) but is limited by relapse and non-relapse mortality (NRM). Metabolomic prognostic value is unclear. We assessed whether plasma metabolite profiles at diagnosis, pre-transplant, and post-transplant are associated with overall survival (OS) and cause-specific mortality. Methods: We retrospectively analyzed plasma metabolites from 63 AML patients undergoing HSCT (263 samples). Results: Higher levels of valine (hazard ratio HR 24.454), citrulline (HR 20.478), 5-oxoproline (HR 11.766), and glutamine (HR 8.701) associated with higher NRM, while inosine diphosphate (HR 0.091) and pyridoxamine-5′-phosphate (HR 0.313) associated with lower NRM. For relapse-related mortality (RRM), higher levels of phenylalanine (HR 26.585), leucine/isoleucine (HR 10.755), indolepyruvate (HR 7.676), and creatinine (HR 13.874) were associated with higher RRM, while trans-4-hydroxy-L-proline (HR 0.101) was associated with lower RRM. Higher post-transplant ornithine (HR 0.063), 3-sulfocatechol (HR 0.590), and indole-3-acetate (HR 0.359) were associated with improved OS. Mixed-effects modelling identified lower dehydroascorbate and citrate in relapsed patients, with dehydroascorbate remaining significant after false discovery rate adjustment. Conclusions: Metabolomic profiling nominated candidate metabolites for validation in larger prospective studies and elucidated mechanistic pathways, potentially informing novel interventions or risk-adapted monitoring strategies in HSCT.