Investigating the Impact of Autonomous Vehicles on Urban Traffic Flow: The Case Study of an Ambulance Corridor Calibrated with Google Traffic Index in Samsun City, Turkey

Traffic variability along heavily congested signalised urban corridors undermines roadway safety, reduces energy efficiency, weakens operational reliability, and can hinder emergency response. Although many simulation-based studies have examined the impacts of Autonomous Vehicles (AVs), relatively few have combined high-resolution congestion observations with link-level microscopic calibration in a real urban network, particularly when evaluating implications for emergency mobility. This study develops and calibrates a microscopic Aimsun traffic simulation model for the Atakum district of Samsun, Türkiye, using a 10 min Google Traffic Index (GTI) observation stream converted into a four-level ordinal congestion scale. The calibration process began with an origin–destination (OD) matrix derived from 2020 traffic counts and was refined through link-level GTI synchronization, iterative OD scaling on mismatched corridors, and signal retiming at key intersections. GTI was validated as an ordinal congestion proxy through both categorical agreement and volumetric consistency, achieving 83% class agreement and GEH values below 5 for more than 90% of links. Five AV penetration scenarios (0%, 25%, 50%, 75%, and 100%) were simulated under peak-hour conditions. Network performance was evaluated using delay, stop time, mean speed, throughput, missed turns, and total journey time, while emergency mobility was assessed along a representative ambulance corridor on Atatürk Boulevard using seconds per kilometre. The results indicate that increasing AV penetration improves flow stability more clearly than nominal capacity. Mean speed increased from 36.2 to 39.2 km/h, delay and stop time declined steadily, and throughput remained nearly constant at 22.2–22.5 thousand vehicles/h. Along the ambulance corridor, travel time improved by 11.5%, from 112.4 to 99.4 s/km, between the baseline and full automation scenarios. These findings provide scenario-based evidence that, within a calibrated signalised urban network, increasing AV penetration can enhance operational stability and emergency response efficiency. More broadly, the study demonstrates the practical value of integrating GTI-based congestion observations with microscopic simulation for AV impact assessment in real urban networks.