Optimization of Hybrid Energy System Control Using MPC and MILP

The increasing integration of renewable energy sources increases the variability and uncertainty of power systems, requiring advanced prediction-based control strategies. This paper proposes an integrated AutoML–MPC framework for a hybrid renewable energy system (HRES) combining solar and wind generation, biomass, battery energy storage, and a hydrogen chain (electrolyzer and fuel cell). Short-term load and generation forecasts are made using H2O AutoML models, and the energy flow allocation is optimized using model-based control (MPC) formalized in the form of mixed-integer linear programming (MILP). The objective function minimizes electricity imports from the grid and the associated CO2 emissions, subject to technological constraints. The results obtained showed a clear distribution of short-term (battery) and long-term (hydrogen) storage functions in time: during periods of excess generation, the electrolyzer operated close to nominal mode, and in the deficit phase, the fuel cell was activated, reducing the need for grid imports. The battery ensured fast short-term balancing, while the hydrogen system compensated for the longer-term energy shortage. The forecast models were characterized by high accuracy (R2>0.98), which allowed for reliable planning of energy flows over the MPC horizon. The proposed methodology allows for effective coordination of storage technologies of different time scales, maximum use of renewable generation and reducing the system’s dependence on the external grid.