We show that exposure to extreme temperatures significantly increases international migration from El Salvador, where nearly a quarter of the population lives in the United States. Extreme temperatures reduce corn yields, leading producers to decrease their use of postharvest inputs and demand for agricultural workers. These income losses, combined with established US migration networks, increase emigration. Our findings highlight how international migration serves as a response to extreme temperatures when destination networks are strong and migration remains financially feasible. This pattern is not unique to El Salvador: Roughly 30 million farms globally are in low-income settings with access to remittances. (JEL F24, J15, J23, J43, O15, Q12, Q54)
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Ana Maria Ibáñez
Juliana Quigua
Maria Jimena Romero
American Economic Journal Economic Policy
Cornell University
University College London
University of Denver
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Ibáñez et al. (Wed,) studied this question.
www.synapsesocial.com/papers/69fa8eca04f884e66b5312ce — DOI: https://doi.org/10.1257/pol.20230447